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		<title>Will the desire for other perspectives trump the &#8220;friendly world syndrome&#8221;?</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/454_will-the-desire-for-other-perspectives-trump-the-friendly-world-syndrome/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=will-the-desire-for-other-perspectives-trump-the-friendly-world-syndrome</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/454_will-the-desire-for-other-perspectives-trump-the-friendly-world-syndrome/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Feb 2011 08:02:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[activity streams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[availability heuristic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[friendly world syndrome]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HCI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heuristics]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[social software]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Twitter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=454</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some recent journalism at NPR and The New York Times has addressed some aspects of the &#8220;friendly world syndrome&#8221; created by personalized media. A theme common to both pieces is that people want to encounter different perspectives and will use available resources to do so. I&#8217;m a bit more skeptical. Here&#8217;s Natasha Singer at The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some recent journalism at NPR and The New York Times has addressed some aspects of the <a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/386_the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules/">&#8220;friendly world syndrome&#8221; created by personalized media</a>. A theme common to both pieces is that people want to encounter different perspectives and will use available resources to do so. I&#8217;m a bit more skeptical.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/06/business/06stream.html">Natasha Singer at The New York Times on cascades of memes, idioms, and links through online social networks (e.g., Twitter)</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>If we keep seeing the same links and catchphrases ricocheting around our social networks, it might mean we are being exposed only to what we want to hear, says Damon Centola, an assistant professor of economic sociology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.</p>
<p>“You might say to yourself: ‘I am in a group where I am not getting any views other than the ones I agree with. I’m curious to know what else is out there,’” Professor Centola says.</p>
<p>Consider a new hashtag: diversity. </p></blockquote>
<p>This is how Singer ends this article in which the central example is &#8220;icantdateyou&#8221; leading Egypt-related idioms as a trending topic on Twitter. The suggestion here, by Centola and Singer, is that people will notice they are getting a biased perspective of how many people agree with them and what topics people care about &#8212; and then will take action to get other perspectives. </p>
<p>Why am I skeptical? </p>
<p>First, I doubt that we really realize the extent to which media &#8212; and personalized social media in particular &#8212; bias their perception of the frequency of beliefs and events. Even though people know that fiction TV programs (e.g., cop shows) don&#8217;t aim to represent reality, heavy TV watchers (on average) substantially overestimate the percent of adult men employed in law enforcement.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/454_will-the-desire-for-other-perspectives-trump-the-friendly-world-syndrome/#footnote_0_454" id="identifier_0_454" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="Gerbner, G., Gross, L., Morgan, M., &amp;#038; Signorielli, N. (1980). The &ldquo;Mainstreaming&rdquo; of America: Violence Profile No. 11. Journal of Communication, 30(3), 10-29.">1</a></sup> That is, the processes that produce the &#8220;friendly world syndrome&#8221; function without conscious awareness and, perhaps, even despite it. So people can&#8217;t consciously choose to seek out diverse perspectives if they don&#8217;t know they are increasingly missing them.</p>
<p>Second, I doubt that people actually want diversity of perspectives all that much. Even if I realize divergent views are missing from my media experience, why would I seek them out? This might be desirable for some people (but not all), and even for those, the desire to encounter people who radically disagree has its limits.</p>
<p>Similar ideas pop up in a NPR <em>All Things Considered</em> segment by Laura Sydell. This short piece (<a href="   http://www.npr.org/2011/02/03/133469245/anti-social-networks-were-just-as-cliquey-online">audio</a>, <a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/transcript/transcript.php?storyId=133469245">transcript</a>) is part of NPR&#8217;s &#8220;Cultural Fragmentation&#8221; series. The segment begins with the worry that offline bubbles are replicated online and quotes me describing how attempts to filter for personal relevance also heighten the bias towards agreement in personalized media. </p>
<p>But much of the piece has actually focuses on how one person &#8212; Kyra Gaunt, a professor and musician &#8212; is using Twitter to connect and converse with new and different people. Gaunt describes her experience on Twitter as featuring debate, engagement, and &#8220;learning about black people even if you&#8217;ve never seen one before&#8221;. Sydell&#8217;s commentary identifies the public nature of Twitter as an important factor in facilitating experiencing diverse perspectives:</p>
<blockquote><p>
But, even though there is a lot of conversation going on among African Americans on Twitter, Professor Gaunt says it&#8217;s very different from the closed nature of Facebook because tweets are public.
</p></blockquote>
<p>I think this is true to some degree: much of the content produced by Facebook users is indeed public, but Facebook does not make it as easily searchable or discoverable (e.g., through trending topics). But more importantly, Facebook and Twitter differ in their affordances for conversation. Facebook ties responses to the original post, which means both that the original poster controls who can reply and that everyone who replies is part of the same conversation. Twitter supports replies through the @reply mechanism, so that anyone can reply but the conversation is fragmented, as repliers and consumers often do not see all replies. So, <a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/386_the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules/">as I&#8217;ve described</a>, even if you follow a few people you disagree with on Twitter, you&#8217;ll most likely see replies from the other people you follow, who &#8212; more often than not &#8212; you agree with.</p>
<p>Gaunt&#8217;s experience with Twitter is certainly not typical. <a href="http://twitter.com/kyraocity">She has over 3,300 followers and follows over 2,400</a>, so many of her posts will generate <a href="http://twitter.com/#!/search/%40kyraocity">replies</a> from people she doesn&#8217;t know well but whose replies will appear in her main feed. And &#8212; if she looks beyond her main feed to the <a href="http://twitter.com/#!/mentions">@Mentions page</a> &#8212; she will see the replies from even those she does not follow herself. On the other hand, her followers will likely only see her posts and replies from others they follow.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/454_will-the-desire-for-other-perspectives-trump-the-friendly-world-syndrome/#footnote_1_454" id="identifier_1_454" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="One nice feature in &amp;#8220;new Twitter&amp;#8221; &amp;#8212; the recently refresh of the Twitter user interface &amp;#8212; is that clicking on a tweet will show some of the replies to it in the right column. This may offer an easier way for followers to discover diverse replies to the people they follow. But it is also not particularly usable, as it is often difficult to even trace what a reply is a reply to.">2</a></sup></p>
<p>Nonetheless, Gaunt&#8217;s case is worth considering further, as does Sydell:</p>
<blockquote><p>
SYDELL: Gaunt says she&#8217;s made new friends through Twitter.</p>
<p>GAUNT: I&#8217;m meeting strangers. I met with two people I had engaged with through Twitter in the past 10 days who I&#8217;d never met in real time, in what we say in IRL, in real life. And I met them, and I felt like <em>this is my tribe</em>.</p>
<p>SYDELL: And Gaunt says they weren&#8217;t black. <em>But the key word for some observers is tribe. Although there are people like Gaunt who are using social media to reach out, some observers are concerned that she is the exception to the rule, that most of us will be content to stay within our race, class, ethnicity, family or political party.</em>
</p></blockquote>
<p>So Professor Gaunt is likely making connections with people she would not have otherwise. But &#8212; it is at least tempting to conclude from &#8220;this is my tribe&#8221; &#8212; they are not people with radically different beliefs and values, even if they have arrived at those beliefs and values from a membership in a different race or class.</p>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_454" class="footnote">Gerbner, G., Gross, L., Morgan, M., &#038; Signorielli, N. (1980). The “Mainstreaming” of America: Violence Profile No. 11. Journal of Communication, 30(3), 10-29.</li><li id="footnote_1_454" class="footnote">One nice feature in &#8220;new Twitter&#8221; &#8212; the recently refresh of the Twitter user interface &#8212; is that clicking on a tweet will show some of the replies to it in the right column. This may offer an easier way for followers to discover diverse replies to the people they follow. But it is also not particularly usable, as it is often difficult to even trace what a reply is a reply to.</li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The &#8220;friendly world syndrome&#8221; induced by simple filtering rules</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/386_the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/386_the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Nov 2010 08:27:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[activity streams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[availability heuristic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[friendly world syndrome]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heuristics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mental models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[participatory media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[persuasive technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[priming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social networks]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=386</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve written previously about how filtered activity streams can lead to biased views of behaviors in our social neighborhoods. Recent conversations with two people writing popular-press books on related topics have helped me clarify these ideas. Here I reprise previous comments on filtered activity streams, aiming to highlight how they apply even in the case [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I&#8217;ve <a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/category/availability-heuristic/">written previously</a> about how filtered activity streams can lead to biased views of behaviors in our social neighborhoods. Recent conversations with two people writing popular-press books on related topics have helped me clarify these ideas. Here I reprise previous comments on filtered activity streams, aiming to highlight how they apply even in the case of simple and transparent personalization rules, such as those used by Twitter.</em><br />
&#8212;</p>
<p>Birds of a feather flock together. Once flying together, a flock is also subject to the same causes (e.g., storms, pests, prey). Our friends, family, neighbors, and colleagues are more similar to us for similar reasons (and others). So we should have no illusions that the behaviors, attitudes, outcomes, and beliefs of our social neighborhood are good indicators of those of other populations &#8212; like U.S. adults, Internet users, or <em>homo sapiens</em> of the past, present, or future. The apocryphal Pauline Kael quote &#8220;How could Nixon win? No one I know voted for him&#8221; suggests both the ease and error of this kind of inference. I take it as a given that people&#8217;s estimates of larger populations&#8217; behaviors and beliefs are often biased in the direction of the behaviors and beliefs in their social neighborhoods. This is the case with and without &#8220;social media&#8221; and filtered activity streams &#8212; and even mediated communication in general. </p>
<p>That is, even without media, our personal experiences are not &#8220;representative&#8221; of the American experience, human experience, etc., but we do (and must) rely on it anyway. One simple cognitive tool here is using &#8220;ease of retrieval&#8221; to estimate how common or likely some event is: we can estimate how common something is based on how easy it is to think of. So if something prompts someone to consider how common a type of event is, they will (on average) estimate the event as more common if it is more easy to think of an example of the event, imagine the event, etc. And our personal experiences provide these examples and determine how easy they are to bring to mind. Both prompts and immediately prior experience can thus affect these frequency judgments via ease of retrieval effects. </p>
<p>Now this is not to say that we should think as ease of retrieval heuristics as biases per se. Large classes and frequent occurrences are often more available to mind than those that are smaller or less frequent. It is just that this is also often not the case, especially when there is great diversity in frequency among physical and social neighborhoods. But certainly we can see some cases where these heuristics fail.</p>
<p>Media are powerful sources of experiences that can make availability and actual frequency diverge, whether by increasing the biases in the direction of projecting our social neighborhoods onto larger population or in other, perhaps unexpected directions. In a classic and controversial line of research in the 1970s and 80s, Gerbner and colleagues argued that increased television-watching produces a &#8220;mean world syndrome&#8221; such that watching more TV causes people to increasingly overestimate, e.g., the fraction of adult U.S. men employed in law enforcement and the probability of being a victim of violent crime. Their work did not focus on investigating heuristics producing these effects, but others have suggested the availability heuristic (and related ease of retrieval effects) as at work. So even if my social neighborhood has <em>fewer</em> cops or victims of violent crime than the national average, media consumption and the availability heuristic can lead me to <em>over</em>estimate both. </p>
<p>Personalized and filtered activity streams certainly also affect us through some of the same psychological processes, leading to biases in users&#8217; estimates of population-wide frequencies. They can aIso bias inference about our own social neighborhoods. If I try to estimate how likely a Facebook status update by a friend is to receive a comment, this estimate will be affected by the status updates I have seen recently. And if content with comments is more likely to be shown to me in my personalized filtered activity stream (a simple rule for selecting more interesting content, when there is too much for me to consume it all), then it will be easier for me to think of cases in which status updates by my friends do receive comments.</p>
<p>In my previous posts on these ideas, I have mainly focused on effects on beliefs about my social neighborhood and specifically behaviors and outcomes specific to the service providing the activity stream (e.g., receiving comments). But similar effects apply for beliefs about other behaviors, opinions, and outcomes. In particular, filtered activity streams can increase the sense that my social neighborhood (and perhaps the world) agrees with me. Say that content produced by my Facebook friends with comments and interaction from mutual friends is more likely to be shown in my filtered activity streams. Also assume that people are more likely to express their agreement in such a way than substantial disagreement. As long as I am likely to agree with most of my friends, then this simple rule for filtering produces an activity stream with content I agree with more than an unfiltered stream would. Thus, even if I have a substantial minority of friends with whom I disagree on politics, this filtering rule would likely make me see less of their content, since it is less likely to receive (approving) comments from mutual friends. </p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been casually calling this larger family of effects this the &#8220;friendly world syndrome&#8221; induced by filtered activity streams. Like the mean world syndrome of the television cultivation research described above, this picks out a family of unintentional effects of media. Unlike the mean world syndrome, the friendly world syndrome includes such results as overestimating how many friends I have in common with my friends, how much positive and accomplishment-reporting content my friends produce, and (as described) how much I agree with my friends.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/386_the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules/#footnote_0_386" id="identifier_0_386" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="This might suggest that some of the false consensus effects observed in recent work using data collected about Facebook friends could be endogenous to Facebook. See Goel, S., Mason, W., &amp;#038; Watts, D. J. (2010). Real and perceived attitude agreement in social networks. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 99(4), 611-621. doi:10.1037/a0020697">1</a></sup></p>
<p>Even though the filtering rules I&#8217;ve described so far are quite simple and appealing, they still are more consistent with versions of activity streams that are filtered by fancy relevance models, which are often quite opaque to users. Facebook News Feed &#8212; and &#8220;Top News&#8221; in particular &#8212; is the standard example here. On the other hand, one might think that these arguments do not apply to Twitter, which does not apply any kind of machine learning model estimating relevance to filtering users&#8217; streams. But Twitter actually does implement a filtering rule with important similarities to the &#8220;comments from mutual friends&#8221; rule described above. Twitter only shows &#8220;<a href="http://blog.twitter.com/2008/05/how-replies-work-on-twitter-and-how.html">@replies</a>&#8221; to a user on their home page when that user is following both the poster of the reply and the person being replied to.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/386_the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules/#footnote_1_386" id="identifier_1_386" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="Twitter offers the option to see all @replies written by people one is following, but 98% of users use the default option. Some users were unhappy with an earlier temporary removal of this feature. My sense is that the biggest complaint was that removing this feature removed a valuable means for discovering new people to follow.">2</a></sup> This rule makes a lot of sense, as a reply is often quite difficult to understand without the original tweet. Thus, I am much more likely to see people I follow replying to people I follow than to others (since the latter replies are encountered only from browsing away from the home page.  I think this illustrates how even a straightforward, transparent rule for filtering content can magnify false consensus effects.</p>
<p>One aim in writing this is to clarify that a move from filtering activity streams using opaque machine learning models of relevance to filtering them with simple, transparent, user-configurable rules will likely be insufficient to prevent the friendly world syndrome. This change might have many positive effects and even reduce some of these effects by making people mindful of the filtering.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/386_the-friendly-world-syndrome-induced-by-simple-filtering-rules/#footnote_2_386" id="identifier_2_386" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="We are investigating this in ongoing experimental research. Also see Schwarz, N., Bless, H., Strack, F., Klumpp, G., Rittenauer-Schatka, H., &amp;#038; Simons, A. (1991). Ease of retrieval as information: Another look at the availability heuristic. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 61(2), 195-202. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.61.2.195">3</a></sup> But I don&#8217;t think these effects are so easily avoided in any media environment that includes sensible personalization for increased relevance and engagement.</p>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_386" class="footnote">This might suggest that some of the false consensus effects observed in recent work using data collected about Facebook friends could be endogenous to Facebook. See Goel, S., Mason, W., &#038; Watts, D. J. (2010). Real and perceived attitude agreement in social networks. <em>Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 99</em>(4), 611-621. doi:10.1037/a0020697</li><li id="footnote_1_386" class="footnote">Twitter offers the option to see all @replies written by people one is following, but 98% of users use the default option. Some users were unhappy with an earlier temporary removal of this feature. My sense is that the biggest complaint was that removing this feature removed a valuable means for discovering new people to follow.</li><li id="footnote_2_386" class="footnote">We are investigating this in ongoing experimental research. Also see Schwarz, N., Bless, H., Strack, F., Klumpp, G., Rittenauer-Schatka, H., &#038; Simons, A. (1991). Ease of retrieval as information: Another look at the availability heuristic. <em>Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 61</em>(2), 195-202. doi:10.1037/0022-3514.61.2.195</li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Public once, public always? Privacy, egosurfing, and the availability heuristic</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/291_public-once-public-always-privacy-egosurfing-and-the-availability-heuristic/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=public-once-public-always-privacy-egosurfing-and-the-availability-heuristic</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/291_public-once-public-always-privacy-egosurfing-and-the-availability-heuristic/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Apr 2010 01:36:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[activity streams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[automaticity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data collection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HCI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heuristics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[participatory media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[priming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=291</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Library of Congress has announced that it will be archiving all Twitter posts (tweets). You can find positive reaction on Twitter. But some have also wondered about privacy concerns. Fred Stutzman, for example, points out how even assuming that only unprotected accounts are being archived this can still be problematic.1 While some people have [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The <a href="http://blogs.loc.gov/loc/2010/04/how-tweet-it-is-library-acquires-entire-twitter-archive/">Library of Congress has announced</a> that it will be archiving all Twitter posts (tweets). You can find positive reaction on Twitter. But some have also wondered about privacy concerns. Fred Stutzman, for example, <a href="http://fstutzman.com/2010/04/14/twitter-and-the-library-of-congress/">points out</a> how even assuming that only unprotected accounts are being archived this can still be problematic.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/291_public-once-public-always-privacy-egosurfing-and-the-availability-heuristic/#footnote_0_291" id="identifier_0_291" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="This might not be the case, see Michael Zimmer and this New York Times article.">1</a></sup> While some people have Twitter usernames that easily identify their owners and many allow themselves to be found based on an email address that is publicly associated with their identity, there are also many that do not. If at a future time, this account becomes associated with their identity for a larger audience than they desire, they can make their whole account viewable only by approved followers<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/291_public-once-public-always-privacy-egosurfing-and-the-availability-heuristic/#footnote_1_291" id="identifier_1_291" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="Why don&amp;#8217;t people do this in the first place? Many may not be aware of the feature, but even if they are, there are reasons not to use it. For example, it makes any participation in topical conversations (e.g., around a hashtag) difficult or impossible.">2</a></sup>, delete the account, or delete some of the tweets. Of course, this information may remain elsewhere on the Internet for a short or long time. But in contrast, the Library of Congress archive will be much more enduring and likely outside of individual users&#8217; control.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/291_public-once-public-always-privacy-egosurfing-and-the-availability-heuristic/#footnote_2_291" id="identifier_2_291" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="Or at least this control would have to be via Twitter, likely before archiving: &amp;#8220;We asked them [Twitter] to deal with the users; the library doesn&amp;#8217;t want to mediate that.&amp;#8221;">3</a></sup> While I think it is worth examining the strategies that people adopt to cope with inflexible or difficult to use privacy controls in software, I don&#8217;t intend to do that here.</p>
<p>Instead, I want to relate this discussion to my continued interest in how activity streams and other information consumption interfaces affect their users&#8217; beliefs and behaviors through the availability heuristic. In response to some comments on <a href="http://fstutzman.com/2010/04/14/twitter-and-the-library-of-congress/">his first post</a>, <a href="http://fstutzman.com/2010/04/16/is-it-time-to-cancel-your-twitter-account/">Stutzman argues</a> that people overestimate the degree to which content once public on the Internet is public forever:</p>
<blockquote><p>So why is it that we all assume that the content we share publicly will be around forever?  I think this is a classic case of selection on the dependent variable.  When we Google ourselves, we are confronted with <em>what’s there</em> as opposed to what’s not there.  The stuff that goes away gets forgotten, and we concentrate on things that we see or remember (like a persistent page about us that we don’t like).  In reality, our online identities decay, decay being a stochastic process.  The internet is actually quite bad at remembering.</p></blockquote>
<p>This unconsidered &#8220;selection on the dependent variable&#8221; is one way of thinking about some cases of how the availability heuristic (and use of ease-of-retrievel information more generally). But I actually think the latter is more general and more useful for describing the psychological processes involved. For example, it highlights both that there are many occurrences or interventions can can influence which cases are available to mind and that even if people have thought about cases where their content disappeared at some point, this may not be easily retrieved when making particular privacy decisions or offering opinions on others&#8217; actions.</p>
<p>Stutzman&#8217;s example is but one way that the combination of the availability heuristic and existing Internet services combine to affect privacy decisions. For example, consider how activity streams like Facebook News Feed influence how people perceive their audience. News Feed shows items drawn from an individual&#8217;s friends&#8217; activities, and they often have some reciprocal access. However, the items in the activity stream are likely unrepresentative of this potential and likely audience. &#8220;Lurkers&#8221; &#8212; people who consume but do not produce &#8212; are not as available to mind, and proliﬁc producers are too available to mind for how often they are in the actual audience for some new shared content. This can, for example, lead to making self-disclosures that are not appropriate for the actual audience.</p>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_291" class="footnote">This might not be the case, see <a href="http://michaelzimmer.org/2010/04/14/how-your-private-tweets-might-be-included-in-the-library-of-congress-public-archive/">Michael Zimmer</a> and <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/15/technology/15twitter.html">this New York Times article</a>.</li><li id="footnote_1_291" class="footnote">Why don&#8217;t people do this in the first place? Many may not be aware of the feature, but even if they are, there are reasons not to use it. For example, it makes any participation in topical conversations (e.g., around a hashtag) difficult or impossible.</li><li id="footnote_2_291" class="footnote">Or at least this control would have to be via Twitter, likely before archiving: <a href="http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=the_library_of_congress_is_now_following_you_on_twitter">&#8220;We asked them [Twitter] to deal with the users; the library doesn&#8217;t want to mediate that.&#8221;</a></li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Not just predicting the present, but the future: Twitter and upcoming movies</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/266_not-just-predicting-the-present-but-the-future-twitter-and-upcoming-movies/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=not-just-predicting-the-present-but-the-future-twitter-and-upcoming-movies</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/266_not-just-predicting-the-present-but-the-future-twitter-and-upcoming-movies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2010 19:02:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[activity streams]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=266</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Search queries have been used recently to &#8220;predict the present&#8220;, as Hal Varian has called it. Now some initial use of Twitter chatter to predict the future: The chatter in Twitter can accurately predict the box-office revenues of upcoming movies weeks before they are released. In fact, Tweets can predict the performance of films better [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/233_search-terms-and-the-flu-preferring-complex-models/">Search queries have been used recently</a> to &#8220;<a href="http://googleresearch.blogspot.com/2009/04/predicting-present-with-google-trends.html">predict the present</a>&#8220;, as Hal Varian has called it. Now some initial use of Twitter chatter to predict the future:</p>
<blockquote><p>The chatter in Twitter can accurately predict the box-office revenues of upcoming movies weeks before they are released. In fact, Tweets can predict the performance of films better than market-based predictions, such as <a href="http://www.hsx.com/">Hollywood Stock Exchange</a>, which have been the best predictors to date. (<a href="http://www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2010/04/twitter_predict.php">Kevin Kelley</a>)</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1003.5699">Here is the paper by Asur and Huberman from HP Labs</a>. Also see <a href="http://sloanreview.mit.edu/improvisations/2009/05/12/using-online-discussions-to-predict-sales/">a similar use of online discussion forums</a>.</p>
<p>But the obvious question from my previous post is, <a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/233_search-terms-and-the-flu-preferring-complex-models/">how much improvement do you get by adding more inputs to the model?</a> That is, how does the combined Hollywood Stock Exchange and Twitter chatter model perform? The authors report adding the number of theaters the movie opens in to both models, but not combining them directly.</p>
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		<title>Search terms and the flu: preferring complex models</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/233_search-terms-and-the-flu-preferring-complex-models/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=search-terms-and-the-flu-preferring-complex-models</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/233_search-terms-and-the-flu-preferring-complex-models/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 07:54:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=233</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Simplicity has its draws. A simple model of some phenomena can be quick to understand and test. But with the resources we have today for theory building and prediction, it is worth recognizing that many phenomena of interest (e.g., in social sciences, epidemiology) are very, very complex. Using a more complex model can help. It&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Simplicity has its draws. A simple model of some phenomena can be quick to understand and test. But with the resources we have today for theory building and prediction, it is worth recognizing that many phenomena of interest (e.g., in social sciences, epidemiology) are very, very complex. Using a more complex model can help. <a href="http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2009/07/that_modeling_f.html">It&#8217;s great to try many simple models along the way &#8212; as scaffolding &#8212; but if you have a large enough N in an observational study, a larger model will likely be an improvement.</a></p>
<p>One obvious way a model gets more complex is by adding predictors. There has recently been a good deal of attention on using the frequency of search terms to predict important goings-on &#8212; like flu trends. Sharad Goel et al. (<a href="http://messymatters.com/2009/11/30/what-can-search-predict/">blog post</a>, <a href="http://www.cam.cornell.edu/~sharad/papers/searchpreds.pdf">paper</a>) temper the excitement a bit by demonstrating that simple models using other, existing public data sets outperform the search data. In some cases (music popularity, in particular), adding the search data to the model improves predictions: the more complex combined model can &#8220;explain&#8221; some of the variance not handled by the more basic non-search-data models.</p>
<p><a href="http://messymatters.com/2009/11/30/what-can-search-predict/"><img class="alignleft" title="Model comparisons" src="http://messymatters.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/searchpreds.jpg" alt="" width="425" height="250" /></a></p>
<p>This echos one big takeaway from the Netflix Prize competition: committees win. The top competitors were all large teams formed from smaller teams and their models were tuned combinations of several models. That is, the strategy is, <em>take a bunch of complex models and combine them. </em></p>
<p>One way of doing this is just taking a weighted average of the predictions of several simpler models. <a href="http://lingpipe-blog.com/2009/09/29/convexity-of-root-mean-square-error-or-why-committees-won-the-netflix-prize/">This works quite well when your measure of the value of your model is root mean squared error (RMSE), since RMSE is convex.</a></p>
<p>While often the larger model &#8220;explains&#8221; more of the variance, what &#8220;explains&#8221; means here is just that the R-squared is larger: less of the variance is error. More complex models can be difficult to understand, just like the phenomena they model. We will continue to need better tools to understand, visualize, and evaluate our models as their complexity increases. I think the committee metaphor will be an interesting and practical one to apply in the many cases where the best we can do is use a weighted average of several simpler, pretty good models.</p>
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		<title>Multitasking among tasks that share a goal: action identification theory</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/184_multitasking-among-tasks-that-share-a-goal-and-action-identification-theory/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=multitasking-among-tasks-that-share-a-goal-and-action-identification-theory</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/184_multitasking-among-tasks-that-share-a-goal-and-action-identification-theory/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jul 2009 19:46:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[automaticity]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=184</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Right from the start of today&#8217;s Media Multitasking Workshop1,  it&#8217;s clear that one big issue is just what people are talking about when they talk about multitasking. In this post, I want to highlight the relationship between defining different kinds of multitasking and people&#8217;s representations of the hierarchical structure of action. It is helpful to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Right from the start of today&#8217;s <a href="http://multitasking.stanford.edu">Media Multitasking Workshop</a><sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/184_multitasking-among-tasks-that-share-a-goal-and-action-identification-theory/#footnote_0_184" id="identifier_0_184" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="The full name is the &amp;#8220;Seminar on the impacts of media multitasking on children&amp;#8217;s learning and development&amp;#8221;.">1</a></sup>,  it&#8217;s clear that one big issue is just what people are talking about when they talk about multitasking. In this post, I want to highlight the relationship between defining different kinds of multitasking and people&#8217;s representations of the hierarchical structure of action.</p>
<p>It is helpful to start with a contrast between two kinds of cases.</p>
<h2>Distributing attention towards a single goal</h2>
<p>In the first, there is a single task or goal that involves dividing one&#8217;s attention, with the targets of attention somehow related, but of course somewhat independent. Patricia Greenfield used Pac-Man as an example: each of the ghosts must be attended to (in addition to Pac-Man himself), and each is moving independently, but each is related to the same larger goal.</p>
<h2>Distributing attention among different goals</h2>
<p>In the second kind of case, there are two completely unrelated tasks that divide attention, as in playing a game (e.g., solitaire) while also attending to a speech (e.g., in person, on TV). <a href="http://www-psych.stanford.edu/~wagner/">Anthony Wagner</a> noted that in Greenfield&#8217;s listing of the benefits and costs of media multitasking, most of the listed benefits applied to the former case, while the costs she listed applied to the later. So keeping these different senses of multitasking straight is important.</p>
<h2>Complications</h2>
<p>But the conclusion should not be to think that this is a clear and stable distinction that slices multitasking phenomena in just the right way. Consider one ways of putting this distinction: the primary and secondary task can either be directed at the same goal or directed at different goals (or tasks). Let&#8217;s dig into this a bit more.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/184_multitasking-among-tasks-that-share-a-goal-and-action-identification-theory/#footnote_1_184" id="identifier_1_184" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="As I was writing this, the topic re-emerged in the workshop discussion. I made some comments, but I think I may not have made myself clear to everyone. Hopefully this post is a bit of an improvement.">2</a></sup></p>
<p><a href="http://www.stanford.edu/~reeves/">Byron Reeves</a> pointed out that sometimes &#8220;<strong>the IMing is about the game</strong>.&#8221; So we could distinguish whether the goal of the IMing is the same as the goal of the in-game task(s). But this making this kind of distinction requires identity conditions for goals or tasks that enable this distinction. As <a href="http://www.uoregon.edu/~mayr/">Ulrich Mayr</a> commented, goals can be at many different levels, so in order to use goal identity as the criterion, one has to select a level in the hierarchy of goals.</p>
<h3>Action identities and multitasking</h3>
<p>We can think about this hierarchy of goals as the network of identities for an action that are connected with the &#8220;by&#8221; relation: one does one thing by doing (several) other things. If these goals are the goals of the person as they represent them, then this is the established approach taken by <a href="http://www.wjh.harvard.edu/~wegner/actid.htm">action identification theory</a> (Vallacher &amp; Wegner, 1987) &#8212; and this could be valuable lens for thinking about this. Action identification theory claims that people can report an action identity for what they are doing, and that this identity is the &#8220;prepotent identity&#8221;. This prepotent identity is generally the highest level identity under which the action is maintainable. This means that the prepotent identity is at least somewhat problematic if used to make this distinction between these two types of multitasking because then the distinction would be dependent on, e.g., how automatic or functionally transparent the behaviors involved are.</p>
<p>For example, if I am driving a car and everything is going well, I may represent the action as &#8220;seeing my friend Dave&#8221;. I may also represent my simultaneous, coordinating phone call with Dave under this same identity. But if driving becomes more difficult, then my prepotent identity will decrease in level in order to maintain the action. Then these two tasks would not share the prepotent action identity.</p>
<p>Prepotent action identities (i.e. the goal of the behavior as represented by the person in the moment) do not work to make this distinction for all uses. But I think that it actually does help makes some good distinctions about the experience of multitasking, especially if we examine change in action identities over time.</p>
<p>To return to case of media multitasking, consider the headline ticker on 24-hour news television. The headline ticker can be more or less related to what the talking heads are going on about. This could be evaluated as a semantic, topical relationship. But considered as a relationship of goals &#8212; and thus action identities &#8212; we can see that perhaps sometimes the goals coincide even when the content is quite different. For example, my goal may simply to be &#8220;get the latest news&#8221;, and I may be able to actually maintain this action &#8212; consuming both the headline ticker and the talking heads&#8217; statements &#8212; under this high level identity. This is an importantly different case then if I don&#8217;t actually maintain the action at the level, but instead must descend to &#8212; and switch between &#8212; two (or more) lower level identities that are associated the two streams of content.</p>
<h3>References</h3>
<p class="references">Vallacher, R. R., &amp; Wegner, D. M. (1987). <a href="http://www.wjh.harvard.edu/~wegner/pdfs/Vallacher%20&amp;%20Wegner%20(Action%20ID)%201987.pdf">What do people think they&#8217;re doing? Action identification and human behavior</a>. <span style="font-style: italic;">Psychological Review</span>, <span style="font-style: italic;">94</span>(1), 3-15.  <span title="url_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&amp;rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&amp;rft.genre=article&amp;rft.atitle=What%20do%20people%20think%20they're%20doing%3F%20Action%20identification%20and%20human%20behavior&amp;rft.jtitle=Psychological%20Review&amp;rft.volume=94&amp;rft.issue=1&amp;rft.aufirst=R.%20R.&amp;rft.aulast=Vallacher&amp;rft.au=R.%20R.%20Vallacher&amp;rft.au=D.%20M.%20Wegner&amp;rft.date=1987&amp;rft.pages=3-15"> </span></p>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_184" class="footnote">The full name is the &#8220;Seminar on the impacts of media multitasking on children&#8217;s learning and development&#8221;.</li><li id="footnote_1_184" class="footnote">As I was writing this, the topic re-emerged in the workshop discussion. I made some comments, but I think I may not have made myself clear to everyone. Hopefully this post is a bit of an improvement.</li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Social and cultural costs of media multitasking</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/176_social-and-cultural-costs-of-media-multitasking/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=social-and-cultural-costs-of-media-multitasking</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jul 2009 18:31:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=176</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today I&#8217;m attending the Media Multitasking workshop at Stanford. I&#8217;m going to just blog as I go, so these posts are going to perhaps be a bit rougher than usual.1 The workshop began with a short keynote from Patricia Greenfield, a psychology professor at UCLA, about the costs and benefits of media multitasking. Greenfield&#8217;s presentation [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today I&#8217;m attending the <a href="http://multitasking.stanford.edu">Media Multitasking workshop</a> at Stanford. I&#8217;m going to just blog as I go, so these posts are going to perhaps be a bit rougher than usual.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/176_social-and-cultural-costs-of-media-multitasking/#footnote_0_176" id="identifier_0_176" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="Which also means I&amp;#8217;m multitasking, in some senses, through the whole conference.">1</a></sup></p>
<p>The workshop began with a short keynote from <a href="http://www.psych.ucla.edu/faculty/faculty_page?id=59&amp;area=4">Patricia Greenfield</a>, a psychology professor at UCLA, about the costs and benefits of media multitasking. Greenfield&#8217;s presentation struck me as representing as an essentially conservative and even alarmist perspective on media multitasking.</p>
<p>Exemplifying this perspective was Greenfield&#8217;s claim that media multitasking (by children) is disrupting family rituals and privileging peer interaction over interaction with family. Greenfield mixed in some examples of how having a personal mobile phone allows teens to interact with peers without their parents being in the loop (e.g., aware of who their children&#8217;s interaction partners are). These examples don&#8217;t strike me as particularly central to understanding media multitasking; instead, they highlight the pervasive alarmism about new media and remind me of how &#8220;helicopter parents&#8217;&#8221; extreme control of their children&#8217;s physical co-presence with others is also a change from &#8220;how things used to be&#8221;.</p>
<h2>Face-to-face vs. mediated</h2>
<p>The relationship of these worries about mobile phones and the allegedly decreasing control that parents have over their children&#8217;s social interaction to media multitasking is that mediated communication is being privileged over face-to-face interaction.  Greenfield proposed that face-to-face interaction suffers from media use and media multi-tasking, and that this is worrisome because we have evolved for face-to-face interaction. She commented that face-to-face interaction enables empathy; there is an implicit contrast here with mediated interaction, but I&#8217;m not sure it is so obvious that mediated communication doesn&#8217;t enable empathy &#8212; including empathizing with targets that one would otherwise not encounter face-to-face and experiencing a persistent shared perspective with close, but distant, others (e.g., parents and college student children).</p>
<h2>Family reunion</h2>
<p>Greenfield cited a study of 30 homes in which children and a non-working parent only greeted the other parent returning home from work about one third of the time (Ochs et al., 2006), arguing &#8212; as I understood it &#8212; that this is symptomatic of a deprioritization of face-to-face interaction.</p>
<p>As another participant pointed out, this could also &#8212; if not in these particular cases, then likely in others &#8212; be a case of not feeling apart during the working day: that is, we can ask, are the children and non-working parents communicating with the parent during the workday? In fact, Ochs et al. (2006, <a href="http://books.google.com/books?id=XojyQcrjziEC&amp;lpg=PA387&amp;ots=2z9mUeUxH8&amp;dq=families%20returning%20home%20ochs&amp;lr=&amp;pg=PA403">pp. 403-4</a>) presents an example of such a reunion (between husband and wife in this case) in which the participants have been in contact by mobile phone, and the conversation picks up where it left off (with the addition of some new information available by being present in the home).</p>
<h2>Next</h2>
<p>I&#8217;m looking forward to the rest of the workshop. I think one clear theme of the workshop is going to be differing emphasis on costs and benefits of media multitasking of different types. I expect Greenfield&#8217;s &#8220;doom and gloom&#8221; will continue to be contrasted with other perspectives &#8212; some of which already came up.</p>
<h3>References</h3>
<p class="references">Ochs, E., Graesch, A. P., Mittmann, A., Bradbury, T., &amp; Repetti, R. (2006). Video ethnography and ethnoarchaeological tracking. <em>The Work and Family Handbook: Multi-Disciplinary Perspective, Methods, and Approaches</em>, 387–409.</p>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_176" class="footnote">Which also means I&#8217;m multitasking, in some senses, through the whole conference.</li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Motivations for tagging: organization and communication motives on Facebook</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/42_motivations-for-tagging-organization-and-communication-motives-on-facebook/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=motivations-for-tagging-organization-and-communication-motives-on-facebook</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/42_motivations-for-tagging-organization-and-communication-motives-on-facebook/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2009 01:30:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[tagging]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=42</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Increasing valuable annotation behaviors was a practical end of a good deal of work at Yahoo! Research Berkeley. ZoneTag is a mobile application and service that suggests tags when users choose to upload a photo (to Flickr) based on their past tags, the relevant tags of others, and events and places nearby. Through social influence [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Increasing valuable annotation behaviors was a practical end of a good deal of work at Yahoo! Research Berkeley. <a href="http://zonetag.research.yahoo.com">ZoneTag </a>is a mobile application and service that suggests tags when users choose to upload a photo (to Flickr) based on their past tags, the relevant tags of others, and events and places nearby. Through social influence and removing barriers, these suggestions influence users to expand and consistently use their tagging vocabulary (Ahern et al. 2006).</p>
<p>Context-aware suggestion techniques such as those used in ZoneTag can increase tagging, but what about users&#8217; motivations for considering tagging in the first place? And how can these motivations for annotation be considered in designing services that involve annotation? In this post, I consider existing work on motivations for tagging, and I use tagging on Facebook as an example of how multiple motivations can combine to increase desired annotation behaviors.</p>
<p>Using photo-elicitation interviews with ZoneTag users who tag, Ames &amp; Naaman (2007) present a two factor taxonomy of motivations for tagging. First, they categorize tagging motivations by <em>function</em>: is the motivating function of the tagging organizational or communicative? Organizational functions include supporting search, presenting photos by event, etc., while communicative functions include when tags provide information about the photos, their content, or are otherwise part of a communication (e.g., telling a joke). Second, they categorize tagging motivations by intended audience (or <em>sociality</em>): are the tags intended for my future self, people known to me (friends, family, coworkers, online contacts), or the general public?</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 334px"><a href="http://yahooresearchberkeley.com/blog/2007/04/09/why-we-tag/"><img title="Table 1 from Ames &amp; Naaman" src="http://yahooresearchberkeley.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2007/04/taxonomy%20cameraready.jpg" alt="Taxonomy of motivations for tagging from Ames &amp; Naaman" width="324" height="186" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Taxonomy of motivations for tagging from Ames &amp; Naaman</p></div>
<p>On Flickr the function dimension generally maps onto the distinction between functionality that enables and is prior to arriving at the given photo or photos (organization) and functionality applicable once one is viewing a photo (communication). For example, I can find a photo (by me or someone else) by searching for a person&#8217;s name, and then use other tags applied to that photo to jog my memory of what event the photo was taken at.</p>
<p>Some Flickr users subscribe to RSS feeds for public photos tagged with their name, making for a communication function of tagging &#8212; particularly tagging of people in media &#8212; that is prior to &#8220;arriving&#8221; at a specific media object. These are generally techie power users, but this can matter for others. Some less techie participants in our studies reported noticing that their friends did this &#8212; so they became aware of tagging those friends&#8217; names as a communicative act that would result in the friends finding the tagged photos.</p>
<p>This kind of function of tagging people is executed more generally &#8212; and for more than just techie power users &#8212; by Facebook. In tagging of photos, videos, and blog posts, tagging a person notifies them they have been tagged, and can add that they have been tagged to their friends&#8217; News Feeds. This function has received a lot of attention from a privacy perspective (and it should). But I think it hints at the promise of making annotation behavior fulfill more of these functions simultaneously. When specifying content can also be used to specify recipients, annotation becomes an important trigger for communication.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;</p>
<p>See some interesting comments (from Twitter) about tagging on Facebook:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://twitter.com/junal/statuses/1127901420">noticing people tagging to gain eyeballs</a></li>
<li><a href="http://twitter.com/boringwill/statuses/1120787486">exhorting others not to tag bad photos</a> (and <a href="http://twitter.com/msfour/statuses/1128460972">thanks</a>)</li>
<li><a href="http://twitter.com/MindiV/statuses/1129262231">collapsing time by tagging photos from long ago</a></li>
<li><a href="http://twitter.com/tahitisounds/statuses/1129147252">tagging by parents</a></li>
</ul>
<p>(Also see Facebook&#8217;s growing use and testing of autotagging [<a href="http://www.y2kers.com/2008/05/facebook-autotag-creepfest-2008/">1</a>, <a href="http://news.cnet.com/8301-17939_109-10004835-2.html">2</a>].)</p>
<h3>References</h3>
<div class="references">
<p>Ames, M., &amp; Naaman, M. (2007). <a href="http://www.stanford.edu/~morganya/research/chi2007-tagging.pdf">Why we tag: motivations for annotation in mobile and online media</a>. In <span style="font-style: italic;">Proceedings of CHI 2007</span> (pp. 971-980). San Jose, California, USA: ACM.</p>
<p>Ahern, S., Davis, M., Eckles, D., King, S., Naaman, M., Nair, R., et al. (2006). <a href="http://groups.sims.berkeley.edu/pics/papers/Ahern_et_al_zonetag_pics06.pdf">Zonetag: Designing context-aware mobile media capture to increase participation</a>. Pervasive Image Capture and Sharing: New Social Practices and Implications for Technology Workshop. In <em>Adjunct Proc. Ubicomp 2006</em>.</div>
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		<title>Activity streams, personalization, and beliefs about our social neighborhood</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/77_activity-streams-personalization-and-beliefs-about-our-social-neighborhood/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=activity-streams-personalization-and-beliefs-about-our-social-neighborhood</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/77_activity-streams-personalization-and-beliefs-about-our-social-neighborhood/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jan 2009 23:49:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[activity streams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[automaticity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[availability heuristic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[friendly world syndrome]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HCI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[heuristics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[participatory media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[persuasive technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[priming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[privacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social comparison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social software]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/?p=77</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every person who logs into Facebook is met with the same interface but with personalized content. This interface is News Feed, which lists &#8220;news stories&#8221; generated by users&#8217; Facebook friend. These news stories include the breaking news that Andrew was just tagged in a photo, that Neema declared he is a fan of a particular [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every person who logs into Facebook is met with the same interface but with personalized content. This interface is News Feed, which lists &#8220;news stories&#8221; generated by users&#8217; Facebook friend. These news stories include the breaking news that Andrew was just tagged in a photo, that Neema declared he is a fan of a particular corporation, that Ellen joined a group expressing support for a charity, and that Alan says, &#8220;currently enjoying an iced coffee&#8230; anyone want to see a movie tonight?&#8221;</p>
<p>News Feed is an example of a particular design pattern that has recently become quite common &#8211; the activity stream. An <em>activity stream</em> aggregates actions of a set of individuals &#8211; such as a person&#8217;s egocentric social network &#8211; and displays the recent and/or interesting ones.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve previously analysed, in <a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/21_update-your-facebook-status-social-comparison-and-the-availability-heuristic/">a more fine-grained analysis of a particular (and now changed) interface element for setting one&#8217;s Facebook status message</a>, how activity streams bias our beliefs about the frequency of others&#8217; participation on social network services (SNSs). It works like this:</p>
<ul>
<li>We use <a href="http://changingminds.org/explanations/theories/availability_heuristic.htm">availability to mind as a heuristic</a> for estimating probability and frequency<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> Normal   0         false   false   false                             MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> </xml><![endif]--><!--  --><!--[if gte mso 10]> <mce:style><!   /* Style Definitions */  table.MsoNormalTable 	{mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; 	mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; 	mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; 	mso-style-noshow:yes; 	mso-style-parent:""; 	mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; 	mso-para-margin:0in; 	mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; 	mso-pagination:widow-orphan; 	font-size:10.0pt; 	font-family:"Times New Roman"; 	mso-ansi-language:#0400; 	mso-fareast-language:#0400; 	mso-bidi-language:#0400;} --> <!--[endif]-->(Kahneman &amp; Tversky, 1973). So if it is easier to think of a possibility, we judge it to be more likely or frequent. This heuristic is often helpful, but it also leads to bias due to, e.g., recent experience, search strategy (compare thinking of words starting with &#8216;r&#8217; versus words with &#8216;r&#8217; as the third letter).</li>
<li>Activity streams show a <em>recent </em>subset of the activity available (think for now of a simple activity stream, like that on one&#8217;s Twitter home page).</li>
<li>Activity streams show activity that is more likely to be interesting and is more likely to have comments on it.</li>
</ul>
<p><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> Normal   0         false   false   false                             MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> </xml><![endif]--><!--  --><!--[if gte mso 10]> <mce:style><!   /* Style Definitions */  table.MsoNormalTable 	{mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; 	mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; 	mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; 	mso-style-noshow:yes; 	mso-style-parent:""; 	mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; 	mso-para-margin:0in; 	mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; 	mso-pagination:widow-orphan; 	font-size:10.0pt; 	font-family:"Times New Roman"; 	mso-ansi-language:#0400; 	mso-fareast-language:#0400; 	mso-bidi-language:#0400;} --> <!--[endif]-->Through the availability heuristic (and other mechanisms) this leads to one to estimate that (1) people in one&#8217;s egocentric network are generating activity on Facebook more frequently than they actually are and (2) stories with particular characteristics (e.g., comments on them) are more (or less) common in one&#8217;s egocentric network than they actually are.</p>
<h2>Personalized cultivation</h2>
<p>When thinking about this in the larger picture, one can see this as a kind of cultivation effect of algorithmic selection processes in interpersonal media. According to <a href="http://www.cw.utwente.nl/theorieenoverzicht/Theory%20clusters/Mass%20Media/Cultivation_Theory.doc/">cultivation theory</a> (see Williams, 2006, for an application to MMORGs), our long-term exposure to media makes<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> Normal   0         false   false   false                             MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> </xml><![endif]--><!--  --><!--[if gte mso 10]> <mce:style><!   /* Style Definitions */  table.MsoNormalTable 	{mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; 	mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; 	mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; 	mso-style-noshow:yes; 	mso-style-parent:""; 	mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; 	mso-para-margin:0in; 	mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; 	mso-pagination:widow-orphan; 	font-size:10.0pt; 	font-family:"Times New Roman"; 	mso-ansi-language:#0400; 	mso-fareast-language:#0400; 	mso-bidi-language:#0400;} --> <!--[endif]-->leads us to see the real world through the lens of the media world; this exposure gradually results in beliefs about the world based on the systematic distortions of the media world (Gerbner et al., 1980). For example, <!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> Normal   0         false   false   false                             MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> </xml><![endif]--><!--  --><!--[if gte mso 10]> <mce:style><!   /* Style Definitions */  table.MsoNormalTable 	{mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; 	mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; 	mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; 	mso-style-noshow:yes; 	mso-style-parent:""; 	mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; 	mso-para-margin:0in; 	mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; 	mso-pagination:widow-orphan; 	font-size:10.0pt; 	font-family:"Times New Roman"; 	mso-ansi-language:#0400; 	mso-fareast-language:#0400; 	mso-bidi-language:#0400;} --> <!--[endif]-->heavy television viewing predicts giving more &#8220;television world&#8221; answers to questions &#8212; overestimating the frequency of men working in law enforcement and the probability of experiencing violent acts. A critical difference here is that with activity streams, similar cultivation can occur with regard to our local social and cultural neighborhood.</p>
<h2>Aims of personalization</h2>
<p>Automated personalization has traditionally focused on optimizing for relevance &#8211; keep users looking, get them clicking for more information, and make them participate related to this relevant content. But the considerations here highlight another goal of personalization: personalization for strategic influence on attitudes that matter for participation. These goals can be in tension. For example, should the system present&#8230;</p>
<h3>The      most interesting and relevant photos to a user?</h3>
<p>Showing photographs from a user&#8217;s network that have many views and comments may result in showing photos that are very interesting to the user. However, seeing these photos can lead to inaccurate beliefs about how common different kinds of photos are (for example, overestimating the frequency of high-quality, artistic photos and underestimating the frequency of &#8220;poor-quality&#8221; cameraphone photos). This can discourage participation through perceptions of the norms for the network or the community.</p>
<p>On the other hand, seeing photos with so many comments or views may lead to overestimating how many comments one is likely to get on one&#8217;s own photo; this can result in disappointment following participation.</p>
<h3>Activity from a user&#8217;s closest friends?</h3>
<p>Assume that activity from close friends is more likely to be relevant and interesting. It might even be more likely to prompt participation, particularly in the form of comments and replies. But it can also bias judgments of likely audience: all those people I don&#8217;t know so well are harder to bring to mind as is, but if they don&#8217;t appear much in the activity stream for my network, I&#8217;m less likely to consider them when creating my content. This could lead to greater self-disclosure, bad privacy experiences, poor identity management, and eventual reduction in participation.</p>
<h3>References</h3>
<p class="references">Gerbner, G., Gross, L., Morgan, M., &amp; Signorielli, N. (1980). The &#8220;Mainstreaming&#8221; of America: Violence Profile No. 11. <em>Journal of Communication, 30</em>(3), 10-29.</p>
<p class="references">Kahneman, D., &amp; Tversky, A. (1973). Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability. <em>Cognitive Psychology, 5</em>, 207-232.</p>
<p class="references">Williams, D. (2006). Virtual Cultivation: Online Worlds, Ofﬂine Perceptions. <em>Journal of Communication</em>,<em> 56</em>, 69-87.</p>
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		<title>Producing, consuming, annotating (Social Mobile Media Workshop, Stanford University)</title>
		<link>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/22_producing-consuming-annotating-social-mobile-media-workshop-stanford-university/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=producing-consuming-annotating-social-mobile-media-workshop-stanford-university</link>
		<comments>http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/22_producing-consuming-annotating-social-mobile-media-workshop-stanford-university/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Aug 2008 22:01:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dean Eckles</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[api]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[communication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumption]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[context]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[design]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gaming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HCI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile messaging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile persuasion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[participatory media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[persuasive technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prototyping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social software]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/22_producing-consuming-annotating-social-mobile-media-workshop-stanford-university/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today I&#8217;m attending the Social Mobile Media Workshop at Stanford University. It&#8217;s organized by researchers from Stanford&#8217;s HStar, Tampere University of Technology, and the Naval Postgraduate School. What follows is some still jagged thoughts that were prompted by the presentation this morning, rather than a straightforward account of the presentations.1 A big theme of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today I&#8217;m attending the Social Mobile Media Workshop at Stanford University. It&#8217;s organized by researchers from Stanford&#8217;s <a href="http://hstar.stanford.edu">HStar</a>, Tampere University of Technology, and the Naval Postgraduate School. What follows is some still jagged thoughts that were prompted by the presentation this morning, rather than a straightforward account of the presentations.<sup><a href="http://www.deaneckles.com/blog/22_producing-consuming-annotating-social-mobile-media-workshop-stanford-university/#footnote_0_22" id="identifier_0_22" class="footnote-link footnote-identifier-link" title="Blogging something at this level of roughness is still new for me&amp;#8230;">1</a></sup></p>
<p>A big theme of the workshop this morning has been transitions among production and consumption &#8212; and the critical role of annotations and context-awareness in enabling many of the user experiences discussed. In many ways, this workshop took me back to thinking about mobile media sharing, which was at the center of a good deal of my previous work. At <a href="http://yahooresearchberkeley.com/">Yahoo! Research Berkeley</a> we were informed by Marc Davis&#8217;s <a href="http://garage.sims.berkeley.edu/">vision</a> of enabling &#8220;the billions of daily media consumers to become daily media producers.&#8221; With <a href="http://zonetag.research.yahoo.com/">ZoneTag</a> we used context-awareness, sociality, and simplicity to influence people to create, annotate, and share photos from their mobile phones (Ahern et al. 2006, 2007).</p>
<p>Enabling and encouraging these behaviors (for all media types) remains a major goal for designers of participatory media; and this was explicit at several points throughout the workshop (e.g., in Teppo Raisanen&#8217;s broad presentation on persuasive technology). This morning there was discussion about the technical requirements for consuming, capturing, and sending media. Cases that traditionally seem to strictly structure and separate production and consumption may be (1) in need of revision and increased flexibility or (2) actually already involve production and consumption together through existing tools. Media production to be part of a two-way communication, it must be consumed, whether by peers or the traditional producers.</p>
<p>As an example of the first case, Sarah Lewis (Stanford) highlighted the importance of making distance learning experiences reciprocal, rather than enforcing an asymmetry in what media types can be shared by different participants. In a past distance learning situation focused on the African ecosystem, it was frustrating that video was only shared from the participants at Stanford to participants at African colleges &#8212; leaving the latter to respond only via text. A prototype system, <a href="http://stanford.edu/~sarahl/mobltzDemo.html">Mobltz</a>, she and her colleagues have built is designed to change this, supporting the creation of channels of media from multiple people (which also reminded me of <a href="http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&#038;ct=res&#038;cd=1&#038;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.kyte.tv%2F&#038;ei=04STSNnoMoGOsQOw8PCgCg&#038;usg=AFQjCNEHzEdnrJ59GhuzDvFWSbYvIxjQtg&#038;sig2=HJnaP8ZAMxt8t110i39kmw">Kyte.tv</a>).</p>
<p>As an example of the second case, Timo Koskinenen (Nokia) presented a trial of <a href="http://news.softpedia.com/news/Mobile-Journalism-Application-from-Nokia-and-Reuters-69034.shtml">mobile media capture tools for professional journalists</a>. In this case the work flow of what is, in the end, a media production practice, involves also consumption in the form of review of one&#8217;s own materials and other journalists, as they edit, consider what new media to capture.</p>
<p>Throughout the sessions themselves and conversations with participants during breaks and lunch, having good annotations continued to come up as a requirement for many of the services discussed. While I think our ZoneTag work (and the free <a href="http://developer.yahoo.com/yrb/zonetag/suggestedtags.html">suggested tags Web service API</a> it provides) made a good contribution in this area, as has a wide array of other work (e.g., von Ahn &#038; Dabbish 2004, licensed in <a href="http://images.google.com/imagelabeler/">Google Image Labeler</a>), there is still a lot of progress to make, especially in bringing this work to market and making it something that further services can build on.</p>
<p>References</p>
<div style="margin-left: 0.5in; text-indent: -0.5in">
<p style="margin: 0pt">Ahern, S., Davis, M., Eckles, D., King, S., Naaman, M., Nair, R., et al. (2006). <a href="http://groups.sims.berkeley.edu/pics/papers/Ahern_et_al_zonetag_pics06.pdf">ZoneTag: Designing Context-Aware Mobile Media Capture</a>. In <em>Adjunct Proc. Ubicomp</em> (pp. 357-366).</p>
<p style="margin: 0pt">Ahern, S., Eckles, D., Good, N. S., King, S., Naaman, M., &#038; Nair, R. (2007). <a href="http://doi.acm.org/10.1145/1240624.1240683">Over-exposed?: privacy patterns and considerations in online and mobile photo sharing</a>. In <span style="font-style: italic">Proc. CHI 2007</span> (pp. 357-366). ACM Press.</p>
<p style="margin: 0pt">Ahn, L. V., &#038; Dabbish, L. (2004). <a href="http://doi.acm.org/10.1145/985692.985733">Labeling images with a computer game</a>. In <span style="font-style: italic">Proc. CHI 2004</span> (pp. 319-326).</p>
</div>
<ol class="footnotes"><li id="footnote_0_22" class="footnote">Blogging something at this level of roughness is still new for me&#8230;</li></ol>]]></content:encoded>
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